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NFL Week 1 Games and Wagers

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by UKFanatic, Aug 28, 2018.

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  1. Travel Fanatic

    Travel Fanatic The Arbiter of Taste Caviar Kid

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    Nine days form the start of the regular season. So its time to start weekly threads for discussions about the games and wagers you are making. I will kick things off. Here are my bets for Week 1:

    Philly/Atl UNDER 46
    Saints -9.5
    Ravens -6.5
    Vikes -5.5
    Browns +5.5
    Chargers -3

    The chargers and Vikes are the two wagers I like most. I think both win by double digits
     
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  2. KnowItAll

    KnowItAll VIP Whale

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    Agree ATL game
    Saints yes
    Ravens yes
    Vikings no
    Browns - no way - wont break double digits themselves
    Chargers no

    just my 2 cents
     
  3. abandapart77

    abandapart77 Low-Roller

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    Pit/Cle Under 46.5
    Rams -3

    Ravens & Saints I agree with

    Best I can do for week 1. Always have a hard time prior to seeing the teams for a couple weeks.
     
  4. jamesxnj

    jamesxnj VIP Whale

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    Would love to see a nice old-fashioned defensive game for the opener and have been waiting for one since this Thursday Night S*** started to open the season..How about a 13-7 game for once?
    Kinda ballsy bet on the Browns but hope it works for ya.
    I think the N.O. bet is a winner also but you may be sweating that a bit in the 4th!
    GL UK!
     
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  5. Crawfordesquire

    Crawfordesquire High-Roller

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    solid plays. im thinking the atl/philly total may go back up to 47.
    im likely going to pull an amateur hour move and tease that under with norleans.
    jags -3
    deadskins ml
    chargers -3
    dal/car under 44.5-this game will be uglier than a $20 myrtle beach hooker on suboxone.
    also going amateur hour and teasing the ny football jets and the packers.
     
  6. TrewBrew

    TrewBrew I may be right, I may be Crazy.

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    How about
    Kansas City over LA Chargers +150 m/l
    Jets over Detroit +250 m/l

    If Wisconsin would legalize sports betting in the next week or if a friend of a friend's cousin stops by to visit

    and Packers -400
     
  7. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    Rams -2.5
     
  8. Crawfordesquire

    Crawfordesquire High-Roller

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    unless you have some anti-raiders local, that's a bs line as -3 @-115 is the best rams line being offered. or you're buying the hook.
     
  9. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    I like it at -3
     
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  10. Travel Fanatic

    Travel Fanatic The Arbiter of Taste Caviar Kid

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    I assumed it was some off-shore line. If I had found Rams at -2.5 when I was placing wagers last week, I would have jumped on it
     
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  11. Crawfordesquire

    Crawfordesquire High-Roller

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    you and everyone else. vegasinsider shows basically every line available, including offshore, which all copycat each other anyway.
    a line at 3 doesn't move much beyond juice, barring serious injury or other changes. i think the line goes to 3.5 if donald reports and/or signs an extention and mack does not report. however, i think both are not in the lineup in 13 days.
    regardless, this is a square/fishy line because the raiders have literally zero talent in the front seven on defense sans mack.. the rams 2nd best offensive player is arguably the LT Whitworth (and the 2nd best player overall without donald in the lineup), and they should have no problems moving the ball on offense with play action and gurley.
     
  12. Travel Fanatic

    Travel Fanatic The Arbiter of Taste Caviar Kid

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    Was curious how the NFL news the past two days had impacted the lines. No real surprises. The lines moved slightly in favor of Atlanta (and the under), the Rams, and the Bears
     
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  13. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    Rams -4
    Vikings -6
    Saints -9.5
    What do you think UK
     
  14. Tahoejoe2

    Tahoejoe2 VIP Whale

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    Balt. -61/2. Bills will be worst team in football this year.
    Carolina -3. Dallas strong O-Line, no more.
     
  15. Travel Fanatic

    Travel Fanatic The Arbiter of Taste Caviar Kid

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    I like all three. Obviously, I already bet that Saints line and got the Vikes at -5.5. I didn't bet the Rams when it was -3. Still think the line is pretty sharp. I was already assuming Mack wouldn't be available for the first game for Oakland. But now they are also losing their WR2. Cooper can't catch every pass. That team has the potential to be a mess.
     
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  16. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    Totally Agree with you , Raiders are a mess, I think Chuckie is in for a big surprise this year.
     
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  17. Texas Rock

    Texas Rock Low-Roller

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    Week 1, I always love the Underdogs.

    This year is no different. I'll fade all of the division games, and feel confident in the rest of the 'dogs, playing a variety of parlays.

    I especially love the Texans at the Patriots (I'll bet heavy on them with +6.5 and will also likely bet the money line on Houston as well if it hangs close the the current +230 when I get to Vegas on Saturday!).
     
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  18. Crawfordesquire

    Crawfordesquire High-Roller

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    dogs have more motivation/optimism, but i don’t think it’s a good match up for dallas, buffalo, or seattle. redskins if you want to call them a dog, I love them in this spot as they are healthy for once.
     
  19. POPO2012

    POPO2012 Low-Roller

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    Liking Ravens -7 , Josh Allen will have rookie struggles, and Rams -4.5 with Mack trade official.
     
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  20. fenway68

    fenway68 VIP Whale

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    Liking Browns +5.5 w Bell holding out...(but then again, I am the poster child for amateur sports betting)
     
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