First off, I adjusted my power ratings based on the week one results. Here are my current top and bottom teams: Top Five: Rams, Seahawks, Bucs, Bills, Niners and Saints (tie) Bottom Five: Lions, Texans, Jets, Bengals, Jags KC dropped out of my top five because their defense was worse than expected. They can't keep relying on the big play comeback to win week in and week out. I suspect they will crawl back into my top five soon, but they are not there right now. As for the bottom, the raiders were lucky and erratic last night, but they still improved in my ratings and the Jags (not surprisingly) fell. Welcome back to your home in the cellar, Jags I am still working on my wagers for the weekend. I will go ahead and say my model says DC should win by 4 on Thursday night, but I won't be betting anything on that game for two reasons. First, despite their abyssmal performance in week one, my model still has the Giants rating exactly the same headed into week two. I thought they would drop a little and it has me doubting the model. So I don't want to back them. As for DC, one of my NFL betting rules is not to bet on teams with a backup QB starting (at least for the first few weeks if the backup has become the new starter). They are usually the backup for a reason (suckitude) but at the same time they can sometimes surprise an opposing defense because there is not a lot of film on them (as the same backup did to the Bucs in the playoffs last year). I just don't see a compelling reason to wager the first game this week other than crippling gambling addiction.