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NFL Regular season Odds Week 11 starts 11/16/2023

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by rooster42000, Nov 12, 2023.

  1. archie1959

    archie1959 VIP Whale

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    @rooster42000 Yea, Buffalo is hurting in division and conference play.
    1-2 division play.
    2-5 conference play.
     
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  2. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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  3. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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  4. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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  5. Geddy3

    Geddy3 Low-Roller

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    • Wow! Wow! x 1
  6. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    Nothing will happen , Remember there was a QB in Tampa a 2 of years ago , who played with a partial ACL tear the whole season and playoffs, the NFL never found out about it , and beat the Chiefs in SBowl , and nothing happened to the Bucs.
    Remember Mr. Brady .:wave:
     
  7. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    Smell like a big blowout. IMO

    3.jpg
     
  8. DegenasaurusRex

    DegenasaurusRex Short arms , hot dice

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    maybe. New coach seems to have lit a fire
     
  9. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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  10. VegasDaytripper

    VegasDaytripper Retired

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    tough break



    so Eagles or Chiefs on Monday night
    who you got?
     
  11. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    Don't like that game. :peace:
     
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  12. DegenasaurusRex

    DegenasaurusRex Short arms , hot dice

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    Eagles. No reason really lol
     
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  13. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    3.jpg
     
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  14. vegasvp

    vegasvp High-Roller

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  15. Geddy3

    Geddy3 Low-Roller

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  16. Rifraf

    Rifraf Tourist

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    Here’s some good Karma . The night of the MNF Jets / Chargers game I tried to put 1k on Bengals to win SupervBowl but their computer wouldn’t allow it because two AFC teams had just played . Next morning before my flight out - same thing . I was slightly annoyed at the time . Now , not so much
     
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  17. DegenasaurusRex

    DegenasaurusRex Short arms , hot dice

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    I thought my 500 on the Steelers winning 9 games was bold.
     
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  18. archie1959

    archie1959 VIP Whale

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    Super Contest 23-25-2
    Fake Circa 23-24-3

    What the hell was I thinking taking Jacksonville and Tennessee last week?
    Really Seattle?
    You're up by 7 with 4 minutes left and you let Washington tie the game?
    Any week 10 info went right into the recycle bin after MNF!

    NY Giants +9 (Circa +8.5)

    GIANTS COVERING?
    GIANTS COVERING?
    Relax Jim Mora, may I explain please?

    The Commanders haven't covered this line all season, and they've covered it only four times the last three years. This rivalry has seen seven one-score games in the last eight matchups, and Washington has beaten the Giants by more than 10 points just once in the last 25 meetings.
    It's past a key number of 8 is the other reason.
    Margin of victory for Washington this season: four, two, eight and three points.

    Neither team is stellar ATS
    NY Giants on the road 1-5 ATS
    Washington 0-3-1 ATS at home.
    Also keep in mind Washington is playing Dallas on Thanksgiving.
    Hopefully it's a game where Washington in in a mindset of let's just stay healthy for Thursday and get a win since we will need all hands on deck for Dallas.


    Detroit -7.5 (Circa -8)

    At 3-6, that's not good news for Chicago.
    Why?
    The Lions are 5-0 ATS against teams that currently have losing records this season.
    And in the last 13 Norris division games, Chicago is 1-12 ATS.
    Have to give kudos to Berman for calling the NFC North the Norris division in the zenith days of NFL Prime Time.

    Be careful though if betting Detroit before Thanksgiving.
    Lions are 7-11 ATS before their Thanksgiving game since 2005.
    And in the last ten matchups, only one have been margin of victory by more than two scores.
    But 14, 16 and 12 have been the margins of victory and ATS wins @ Ford Field this season for Detroit.

    Miami -13.5 (Same Circa)

    [​IMG]

    I'm aware it's Crocket and Tubbs.
    But I'd rather think of this as Tua Tagovailoa and head coach Mike McDaniel relaxing before their game with the LV Raiders @ Hard Rock Stadium.
    The two of them worried about a team under a new coach that has turned the culture around?
    Nah!
    Look who LV defeated.
    Both NY teams!
    To them, those are Pop Warner teams they defeated!

    Look at the margin of victory Crocket and Tubbs I mean Tua and Mike have at Hard Rock.
    50
    17
    21
    14
    Um, guys don't brag.
    You defeated Denver, Ney York Giants, Carolina and New England.

    So why Miami?

    Raiders are 0-7 ATS when traveling more than 1500 miles.
    Raiders are 2-8 ATS after playing the Jets
    Last 25 games, Miami as a home favorite 18-5-2 ATS.
    Last 21 with Tua at QB at home, 16-5 ATS.

    IMO, Miami does not face real competition until December 24th.
    Home to Dallas.
    And a tough road game after Dallas.
    Baltimore.

    LA Rams +1 (Same Circa)

    Hey Pete Carroll, Who's Your Daddy?
    The Los Angeles Rams!
    Last 10 matchups, Rams have covered 9!
    The Seahawks are 0-5-2 ATS versus opponents that are on a losing streak of three or more games. The Rams have lost three in a row.
    Uh-oh!

    Last 9 games after a bye, Rams are 7-1-1 ATS.
    And Seattle has a short week.
    Thanksgiving night is off to the Bay Area to play the 49ers.

    Minnesota +2.5 (Same Circa)

    How the hell did Denver win that game?
    You miss two PAT's and you get a second chance because the coaching staff on Buffalo cannot count to 12 and know that's too many men on the field?
    Along with all the turnovers Buffalo had and not really taking full advantage.
    Oh they were getting field goals, but I just felt Denver should have had a lot more points IMO.

    This may not feel like the most exciting Sunday Night Football matchup you've ever seen, but believe it or not, these teams have the longest current win streaks in football.
    The Broncos have won three in a row and the Vikings have won five straight.
    Kudos to Minnesota for the acquisition of Joshua Dobbs.
    [​IMG]

    Minnesota has the last seed and right not have a two game win cushion over TB, Washington and Atlanta.

    Did you know Minnesota is 4-0-1 ATS on the road this season?
    Give them the Mad Max Road Warrior award so far in the 2023-2024 season!

    But don't count Denver out against an NFC Norris team.
    2 wins and 1-0-1 ATS
    Largest margin of victory was 3.

    Minnesota is a 180 vs the AFC West.
    No wins or covers.
    But largest margin of defeat was 7.

    [​IMG]


    Wilson has had two prime time games with Denver.
    12-9 OT loss to the Colts and an 11-10 win over the 49ers.
    The 11-10 game I had to be going back and forth to watch Bob's Burgers and Family Guy instead of watching that football game.

    The other was a Amazon TNF game.
    Bezos must have been happy that evening shelling out all that money for that snooze fest!

    Remember Denver played Monday night.
    And are short a day off a emotional win.
    Both the Chargers and Jets played Monday night in week 9.
    Both teams played on the west coast on Sunday and both teams lost in week 10.

    Good luck to all this week.
    No Patriots game this week means 7 hours of commercial free football with NFL Red Zone!

    And let's go back to the 80"s with Jan Hammer & The Miami Vice Theme!
     
    Last edited: Nov 17, 2023
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  19. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    Last edited: Nov 18, 2023
  20. Tahoejoe2

    Tahoejoe2 VIP Whale

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    Houston/Arizona Over 47.5
    Minn. +2.5
    Rams -1

    Good luck everyone
     
    LV Superbowl
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