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Table Games Mississippi Stud Small Pairs 2-5 3x?

Discussion in 'Table Games' started by BoostedRS, May 16, 2017.

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  1. BoostedRS

    BoostedRS Low-Roller

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    So last time I was in Vegas (March Madness) I got introduced by a buddy to Mississippi Stud. I didn’t know really the “by the book” method to obtain the lowest house edge but have now been reading about it.

    I looked at the Wizard of Odds and it says when you have 2 cards and with any pair you are to 3x your bet.

    The expected values for pairs of 2s-5s are:

    1x = 1.929796 and Raise 3x = 2.177959

    I’m not sure I’m reading into this correctly in possibly terms I can understand can someone explain why I should 3x bet small pairs?

    I think I’m looking at it in poker terms as you have 2 cards there are 52 cards in the deck. Assuming nobody else at the table has your hand you have 2 outs out of 50 remaining cards to get one of your others 2s-5s. Basically a 4% chance on the first dealer flipped card. Basically the only hands that can improve your hand are two pair (pays 2:1), trips (3:1), full house (10:1), quads (40:1). Even if there are a roughly a full table and you confirm nobody else has one of your outs you only increase your chances of hitting an additional 2-5 on the first dealer card by about 1%.

    Why is it advantageous to 3x the first bet?
     
  2. The Rumor

    The Rumor VIP Whale

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    A hand like 22 is more likely to make quads/trips/3 of a kind than a hand like QJ
     
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  3. tringlomane

    tringlomane STP Addicted Beer Snob

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    And two pair. And there are 3 cards at this decision point to improve your hand plus you get odds for every made hand. The greater than even money odds are strong enough to make extra bets preflop worth it with 3 cards to come.

    Here is the detailed breakdown of the final hands and payouts for a low pair hand.

    MS Stud pic.png
     
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  4. BoostedRS

    BoostedRS Low-Roller

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    @tringlomane Thanks for doing the math and the explanation. It's much appreciated!
     
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