Dallas Cowboys @ New England Patriots There is a strong chance this will be my largest bet of the season barring health issues. New England: The Patriots are a 4-1 team masked as a bad 2-3 team. They completely outplayed the Dolphins in week 1 but lost due to one player fumbling at the end of the game. And although you could say either team could have won in the Bucs/Pats game, they played well enough to win that game as well. This past week, everyone saw New England struggle vs a Texans team that has looked awful; however it's important to note Mac Jones was playing without 4 starting offensive lineman. Their offense was destined to struggle in that game which led to a lot of quick drives and punts. In the end though, they still escaped with the victory. I see New England as a capable 4-1 team that is about to get healthier. Bill Belichick said after the game he couldn’t remember a game from his entire coaching career when so many replacements up front were needed. Three practice-squad linemen were called up for the Houston game. Dallas: Nothing makes a team more overvalued than winning a bunch of home games against bad and depleted teams. Dallas just had the luxury of playing three straight home games, and did so against Jalen Hurts, Sam Darnold, and Mike Glennon. If we look closer however, we will see they faced Jalen Hurts when he was missing multiple offensive lineman, Sam Darnold when the Panthers were missing at least 5 starters due to injuries, and this past week faced the Giants who were playing without QB Daniel Jones, LT Andrew Thomas, WR Kenny Golladay, WR Sterling Shepard, WR Darius Slayton, and RB Saquon Barkley. Dallas is a good team, but over the past three weeks nobody has had it easier than them schedule wise. Patriots +4 locked in for 8 units and monitoring their practice report throughout the week likely adding more. Tampa Bay Bucs @ Philadelphia Eagles Buccaneers: Considering what Tampa is going through right now, touchdown road favorites against an underrated Eagles team is absurd. The Bucs will be playing this game without two starting cornerbacks in Sean Murphy-Bunting and Carlton Davis. Their replacement cornerback Richard Sherman, has given up 21 catches off 29 targets so far for 199 yards and 4 TDs since joining the team two weeks ago. Their starting safety Antoine Winfield is still in concussion protocol, he is questionable to play but did not practice yesterday meaning he's closer to doubtful. Their best linebacker Lavonte David, is out. On the offensive side, Brady sustained a thumb injury at the end of the Miami game which needed to be heavily wrapped in practice this week. He will also be without Rob Gronkowski for another game. The Bucs blasted the Dolphins by 30+ this past weekend in Tampa, however Miami is one fumble away from being 0-5 on the season right now. The Dolphins, and the Eagles - should not be grouped together as similar quality of opponents this season. Philadelphia: Despite facing the 5th toughest schedule in the league up to this point, the Eagles are sporting the 3rd best yards per play differential in the entire NFL - trailing only the Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns. Although a small sample size thus far, their coaching staff has done a phenomenal job up to this point. Miami is #23rd. For reference, New England is #5, and we saw how much Tampa struggled against them. Waiting on final injury report to determine unit count but I think eagles win the game straight up.