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Kentucky Derby, Preakness & Belmont Picks

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by volfaninbama, May 2, 2012.

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  1. Shot Clock

    Shot Clock Tourist

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    Believe You Can! Sets me up nice for tomorrow. Lost my EX box though.
     
  2. DonD

    DonD Super Moderator

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    Nice call. You're going to get a nice payout if you hit. Good luck.
     
  3. Shot Clock

    Shot Clock Tourist

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    Hope so. I always bet Larry Jones horses. His horses treat me well.
     
  4. arkansas grandma

    arkansas grandma Tourist

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    I have Bode across: love the jockey, my favorite trainer and look where I live: hubby has Creative Cause and Hullahan to show. I know only 2 weeks off isn't much time, but I remember when the horses ran with only 5 days rest. Of course I remember when pitchers pitched with only 3 day off as well.

    Nita
     
  5. Shot Clock

    Shot Clock Tourist

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    It's certainly a different era. Greatest horse I've ever seen is Spectacular Bid. I think he ran 7 times in the 3 months leading up to the Derby and won easily.
     
  6. TFK

    TFK High-Roller

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    I love Dullahan's late speed. I'd take Bodiemeister in my exacta.

    TFK
     
  7. DonD

    DonD Super Moderator

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    Here's the double will pays:

    1. Daddy Long Legs, $1,788
    2. Optimizer, $2,415
    3. Take Charge Indy, $617
    4. Union Rags, $208
    5. Dullahan, $370
    6. Bodemeister, $276
    7. Rousing Sermon, $2,436
    8. Creative Cause, $389
    9. Trinniberg, $2,239
    10. Daddy Nose Best, $483
    11. Alpha, $537
    12. Prospective, $2,588
    13. Went the Day Well, $867
    14. Hansen, $662
    15. Gemologist, $338
    16. El Padrino, $637
    17. Done Talking, $2,735
    18. Sabercat, $1,676
    19. I’ll Have Another, $731
    20. Liaison, $3,224
     
  8. JackSpliff

    JackSpliff Newbie

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    All about the longshots. Trinniberg and El Padrino.

    If that hits, ill be a happy guy!

    Ill throw a couple bucks on Dullahan as well.
     
  9. roli

    roli Newbie

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  10. arkansas grandma

    arkansas grandma Tourist

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    I threw a show bet on I'll have another. What a perfect hunch bet for me. Our son in law makes our bets, he goes to the dog track in Orlando.

    Nita
     
  11. DonD

    DonD Super Moderator

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    Main track is FAST

    Turf is GOOD
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2012
  12. TFK

    TFK High-Roller

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    I remember the 2002 Derby. I was driving up to the track with a friend to place our bets. The whole trip up, I was explaining why I was sure my horse was gonna win. I had done all the research, from the bloodlines, to the jockeys, to the track conditions, you name it, I had covered all of my bases, and I was sure my horse (can't even remember who the horse was) was gonna win, and win easily.

    My friend looks at me, clearly impressed with all of the time and effort I put in, and then says he's gonna pick War Emblem, because the name reminds him of the Kiss song War Machine, and he's a Kiss fan.

    Of course, War Emblem wins, pays $43.00, and I'm not sure if my horse ever even made it around the track.

    TFK
     
  13. arkansas grandma

    arkansas grandma Tourist

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    I am not sure, but as long as I have been playing the ponies, I can't remember betting the K Derby winner. I may have had a couple show horses come in, but that is it. Give me the little races, those are the ones that I have the luck with. Well let's say the least lack of luck...
     
  14. DonD

    DonD Super Moderator

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    OK, I going to Ex box 3.4.5.7

    Now I'm going to start working on excuses of why my horses didn't win.
     
  15. arkansas grandma

    arkansas grandma Tourist

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    actually, as my hunch bet I should have gone with "rousing sermon" cause that is what our minister tries to do every Sunday and I could use a good sermon over another one!!!!
     
  16. VegasBJ

    VegasBJ VIP Whale

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    Here's my take, for what it's worth. Not much of a horse player............

    Bodemeister - kind of a front runner, not enough experience, will have a hard time with the distance, favorites usually don't win

    Creative Cause - Cali horse who probably will not make the final 3

    Hansen - front runner who will set the pace but burn out

    So..................I am going to do a $5 exacta box, and a $2 trifecta box with the following:

    Union Rags - monster horse who had a bad trip last time out
    Gemologist - strong horse who should be there at the end
    Take Charge Indy - one of the mid-shots who has a chance
    I'll have another - one of the Cali horses who may show up
    Dullahan - outside chance to be there, mid odds horse to help a payday
    Sabercat - best of the long shots. Trainer did not have to run him much since he qualified so early last year, so more unknown = longer odds

    Good luck everybody!
     
  17. livestock66

    livestock66 Low-Roller

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    11 to win

    4,11,15 Trifecta box

    5,18 Exacta box

    I haven't picked the Derby winner since Funnycide in 2003, but that was a nice payday!
     
  18. arkansas grandma

    arkansas grandma Tourist

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    Even if we don't agree, good luck to you and to everyone. I think some of your handicapping looks good, some not so good. One thing you are right about: the favorite doesn't win very often, in fact I don't remember the last time the favorite did win When there are 20 horses in a race it is anyone's guess who will wear the roses...
     
  19. VegasBJ

    VegasBJ VIP Whale

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    Yeah, I am not really a handicapper, I just throw some money at the race for fun. I don't really follow the horses.

    Sent from my SCH-I510 using Tapatalk 2
     
  20. DonD

    DonD Super Moderator

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    I have doubles going to 3.4.5.7
    $589
    $182
    $499
    $2,291
    Guess which one I prefer . . . :evillaugh
     
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