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Video Poker Dealt Royal Flush

Discussion in 'Video Poker' started by win4me, Sep 30, 2019.

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  1. meyers67

    meyers67 VIP Whale

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    I’m an actuary and I can say that you have a better chance of living to age 94, than does a casual video poker player have getting two dealt royals.
     
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  2. tringlomane

    tringlomane STP Addicted Beer Snob

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    ?

    Depends on your definition of "casual" I suppose...

    If someone plays 100 hours per year (~2 hours a week) over 40 years at 400 deals per hour, you'd expect them to have 2.46 dealt royals over that period. Much more likely than making 94.

    Unless I quit the game early, I'll be disappointed I don't get two before I die (already have one).
     
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  3. oldbrewzer

    oldbrewzer Low-Roller

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    We have had a total of 5 dealt royals(wife-3, me-2). The last one was last year at the "D". My estimate of total hands played since we started playing video poker is around 2,300,000 - 2,400,000 hands. My wife actually hit her 3 in a 10 month stretch March 2016 - January 2017. Of course, now she expects they should be coming more frequently.
     
  4. meyers67

    meyers67 VIP Whale

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    Ok I’ll lay out my assumptions.

    - player is not a local. They have two 4-day trips per year for eight gambling days per year.
    - assume the same 400 hands per hour and they play five hours per day that’s 16,000 hands a year
    - assume a 30 year playing career thats 480,000 hands in a lifetime
    - my calculation of 480,000 hands states that they have a 17% chance of getting more than one dealt royal (do you agree with this calc)?
    - I used a living to 94 expectancy of 20%. This varies greatly by gender and also some by medical improvements assumed.
     
  5. bull1029

    bull1029 High-Roller

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    After assimilating all this data, the gambler in me thinks, "man, am I due for a dealt royal." To be honest, I'm also due for a drawn royal. So, lemme at 'em!
     
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  6. zignerlv

    zignerlv VIP Whale

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    It took a long time to get my first, and I suppose my play is more than casual, but I've had 3 dealt royals now. The last one was either 2018 or 2017.

    The thrill of a dealt royal is different than a drawn one, as you see the cards dealt, then left to right they get quickly automatically held, and then the royal flush flashes like usual. Since I already have 2 or more does that mean I won't live till 94? ;-)
     
    Last edited: Nov 13, 2019
  7. oghuman

    oghuman VIP Whale

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    Well I've had more than 2 so I hope you're right. It reminds me in 1996 the company I worked for( the now largest bank in the US) changed the retirement plan from and when they converted it to a new plan I realized they used the worst actuarial table and my new cash amount was 20% less than the best. So my net worth is probably 20% less now in retirement due to an actuary. :thumbsdown:
     

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  8. meyers67

    meyers67 VIP Whale

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    I’m not saying that. It just means that since you got 2 or more, that means someone like me won’t get any. Thanks a lot.
     
  9. meyers67

    meyers67 VIP Whale

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    Sounds like they did the minimum allowed by law. Next time be a government employee. They get juicy pensions.
     
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  10. tringlomane

    tringlomane STP Addicted Beer Snob

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    Fair enough. That's certainly very casual.

    But now i think you're a bit optimistic with people making it to 94! Haha Hopefully health improves to 20% overall making it that far. Women probably get there eventually, but men and women combined? Ehhhh...I sure don't plan on it making it that far. I'm left-handed even!
     
  11. oghuman

    oghuman VIP Whale

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    Yes, it was the minimum allowed by law. Actually I did OK, just not the amount I would have at the old plan had I retired at an older age because I was laid off during the big crash in 2008. I did, however, end up with a pretty good severance package.
     
  12. nickbig14

    nickbig14 Tourist

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    Decided I am screwed....I play at least 6 hours a week on average, so quite a few hands, but I've had 5 dealt in the 19 years I have been old enough to gamble......including my first ever at the age of 21.....what does that mean for my life expectancy?
     
  13. meyers67

    meyers67 VIP Whale

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    yeah women get there pretty often - men not as often. So if we use the male rate my thesis crashes and burns. What’s the left handed reference? I didn’t follow that.
     
  14. tringlomane

    tringlomane STP Addicted Beer Snob

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    I was under the impression that left- handed people lived shorter lives on average. But the study I learned the stat from has been mostly shunned apparently.

    https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg13017662-900-left-handers-dont-die-young-after-all/

    That study claimed a nine year difference.

    Another study based on former cricket players 25 years ago said the left-handed guys lived about 25 months shorter. Which is better for me at least...lol

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1059767/
     
  15. bluesdude

    bluesdude VIP Whale

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    My first drawn RF! Did this at MSS BHB within the first half hour of playing last Saturday. I feel like I am half way until living to 92! :woohoo:

    IMG_0224 (1).jpg
     
    Maybe not this year. Looking forward to 2021!
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  16. GeorgeJ.

    GeorgeJ. High-Roller

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    I have only had one dealt Royal and that was on a 100-play machine at Southpoint a number of years ago. I was only playing the penny denomination so I think it paid a total of $125 for all 100 Royals...
     
  17. Hbatc

    Hbatc Tourist

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    Not a single multiplier.
    royal.jpg
     
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  18. Jkpalmer7

    Jkpalmer7 Low-Roller

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    I’m still waiting for my first dealt royal.
     
  19. Grant1982

    Grant1982 High-Roller

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    Were you only playing 1 credit per hand? A dealt royal on a 100 hand penny machine would be worth $4,000.
     
  20. win4me

    win4me High-Roller

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    Most of us are with you. Maybe one day it will happen for us.
     
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