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Video Poker VP tourney strategy advice

Discussion in 'Video Poker' started by bubbakitty, Sep 3, 2016.

  1. bubbakitty

    bubbakitty native Texan; born and bred.

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    going to the cal for first time ever tourney, two sessions with ddbonus poker machines. Usually told it had a specific number of Hands within a time limit. What do you look for? Do you take a lone ace over middle pair? Toss another pair if one of two pair is aces? Take any suited face regardless of other cards? I have played a few before and someone always gets a royal--maybe a couple of someones. Just want to make the right call.
    Took it for the free 3 night offer. I like the cal and want to check out the new sports book also. Staying other 4 nights at MSS Any guidance appreciated. Expectations for tourney finish are low. Trip expectations are up there. Thanks.
     
    1st Super Bowl DT...Panthers / Browns no doubt
  2. tringlomane

    tringlomane STP Addicted Beer Snob

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    You have any data on the payout structure number of entrants? Knowing that would help. I have meant to do sim work on stuff like this. But I'm also lazy. I'm even still working on my itinerary :( Still wanting to pencil you in somewhere for next Monday the 12th...;)

    Generally speaking, if the paytable is very top heavy (where few places pay anything), you could argue to do a "royal-only" strategy (always going for a royal almost doubles your chances at a royal). Or a "Royal and Aces" only strategy. However, I think that's suboptimal for many tourneys because payouts aren't often super steep. If they pay anywhere near the top 20%, I don't think you would want to try those ideas.

    At the least though, I'd recommend a modified DDB strategy where you take 3 to a Royal over a pair of face cards.

    Royal probability with 9/6 DDB optimal strategy (except holding KTs vs. KTxs because you'd never hold 3 to a flush in a DDB tourney) is 1 in 40,281.2 and returns 98.98%

    If you take all 3 to a Royal vs. KK-JJ and all 3 to a Royal vs. 4 to a flush, the royal probability will increase to 1 in 33,787.8 (a 19.2% increase) and the return depresses to 98.87%.
    If you pick the lowest suited face card instead of KQ, KJ, QJ offsuit (a suggestion you made), the royal probability will increase to 1 in 38,969.9 and return depresses to 98.79%.

    Doing both of these changes simultaneously, the royal probability will increase to 1 in 32,994.6 (a 22.1% increase) a and the return depresses to 98.68%.

    I definitely recommend all 3 to a Royal > pair of face cards. Holding only one face card vs. two is much more marginal. Hard to fill in a royal drawing 4. But still might be worth it to add. But without more data...I really am unsure on this one.

    I think more extreme measures these choices this are probably not worth the return hit if there is a flattish prize pool.

    Also it's very important to be fast in these if there are many hands to be played on a short clock. You really want to complete your hands, so maybe one face is better than two. Get used to hitting the deal/draw button to skip your win count.
     
  3. bubbakitty

    bubbakitty native Texan; born and bred.

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    The brochure says minimum 150
    Players 15000$ pool and 5000$ to the winner. Don't know breakdown but figure the pay top 35-50. Guessing. Thanks for the insight
     
    1st Super Bowl DT...Panthers / Browns no doubt
  4. bubbakitty

    bubbakitty native Texan; born and bred.

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    Hey. It's free.
    Like the drinks.
     
    1st Super Bowl DT...Panthers / Browns no doubt
  5. FullPay

    FullPay High-Roller

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    I played in that last year. You'll play off fifteen hundred credits in twenty minutes, so three hundred hands at the rate of 900 hands per hour. I finished with about two minutes to spare and the woman next to me finished about a minute before me. Many players didn't finish. The winners list had at least four who hit a royal. I was like two positions out of the money and skipped the awards dinner.