1. Welcome to VegasMessageBoard
    It appears you are visiting our community as a guest.
    In order to view full-size images, participate in discussions, vote in polls, etc, you will need to Log in or Register.

NFL wagering : San Diego +4 at New Orleans

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by JWBlue, Oct 5, 2012.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

    Joined:
    Feb 24, 2010
    Messages:
    1,660
    Location:
    Irvine, CA
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    10
    This line is an absolute gift.

    Everyone assumes the Saints will not have a record of 0-5 after this game. Why not? There isn't any sound reasoning for this.
    Even if they don't, they won't win by more than a field goal.

    The Chargers are the better team. Their speed pass rushers will excel on the artificial surface of the Superdome.

    This game is a nationally televised showcase on Sunday night, so San Diego will be just as focused as New Orleans.

    San Diego +4 (MGM properties). +3.5 is ok too.
     
  2. shifter

    shifter Degenerate Gambler

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2010
    Messages:
    10,096
    Location:
    At the tables
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    30
    the problem is SD isn't a quality team. it's a crapshoot whether they will show up or not.
     
  3. saintpauljeff

    saintpauljeff VIP Whale

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2008
    Messages:
    1,782
    Location:
    Saint Paul, MN
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    999
    what's the moneyline for this game?
     
  4. NickPapageorgio

    NickPapageorgio OG of the Sal Sagev Hotel

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2007
    Messages:
    2,508
    Location:
    Yuma, AZ
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    99
    Ditto. N'awlins is still potent. This one is a tossup.

    Nick:beer:
     
  5. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

    Joined:
    Feb 24, 2010
    Messages:
    1,660
    Location:
    Irvine, CA
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    10
    Normally I would not wager on a team coming off a division road win like the Chargers are.

    This is mitigated by two things.

    First, it is a Sunday night game. If this was an afternoon game, I am not sure I would have made this wager. Since it is a Sunday night game, the Chargers will show up. It is not a coincidence that Sunday night football games are always close and exciting. All teams want to play well in this game. The Chargers do not even have to win this game for the wager to win.

    Second, this is an interconference game. Home teams don't seem to be as motivated in these types of games. See New England versus Arizona earlier this year.

    27-24 Chargers.

    +170.

    This is not a bad wager either.


    I think the Saints not having their head coach is hurting them more than people realize.

    The Saints defense is ranked #32 (last) overall and against the run.

    The Saints are 0-4. 0-4 is 0-4.
     
  6. jamesxnj

    jamesxnj VIP Whale

    Joined:
    Oct 12, 2009
    Messages:
    1,089
    Location:
    FL
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    17
    The Sainta have a few angles going for them in this game..
    Motivation to win a game heading into the bye week

    The suspended coaches and GM will be in attendance at the game per Brees's request to the NFL and granted.
    He probably will break Johnny U's record of 48 straight games with a TD pass,hence the request.Does the team
    get added motivation with the orginal coaches there/

    Also it is Sproles first time facing his old team and adds motivation..

    That said,a Fantasy site I trust calls the game SD 30-27 with a good running game winning it for SD.
    I'm much rather see Gates and Floyd get the TD's but I'll be rooting for the Bolts to control TOP and keep Brees off the field..
    I would love SD on a teaser parlay card and even take N.O on the other side and middle it..Could be one of those games.
     
  7. RebelDiceMan

    RebelDiceMan High-Roller

    Joined:
    Mar 30, 2004
    Messages:
    712
    Location:
    Mississippi
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    21
    If it is a gift line like you said, jump on it for some serious cash.
     
  8. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

    Joined:
    Feb 24, 2010
    Messages:
    1,660
    Location:
    Irvine, CA
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    10
    I am glad this was posted.

    I never said this a lock. I wouldn't place an extraordinary amount on this. I know enough about sports betting to not bet over my head.

    If I was in Las Vegas like I should be right now, I would definitely have money down on San Diego.

    I am stating there are a lot of compelling reasons to wager on the Chargers.
     
  9. C0usineddie

    C0usineddie VIP Whale

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2011
    Messages:
    2,516
    Location:
    San Diego
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    12
    The chargers are a good team when they play crummy teams. they cant stand up to any sort of resistance.

    look at the falcons game. they completley collapsed.

    then they brag it up when they beat teams like the radiers and chiefs.

    This is the true Norv turner team now. that equals losers.

    They might and this is a strong might go 8-8 this season. the hard part is coming and there is no way they are going to the playoff.

    So do yourselves a favor and bet on the saints to get their first victory this season.

    remember ...Norv Turner

    be sure to come back to this thread when the weekend is over to tell me how much you won by following my advice.
     
  10. gongoman

    gongoman MIA

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2012
    Messages:
    581
    Location:
    Long Beach,In
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    15
    Money Line to me is

    LAYOFF:beer:
     
  11. mike_m235

    mike_m235 Tourist

    Joined:
    Aug 22, 2012
    Messages:
    2,421
    Location:
    Colorado Springs
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    12
    When a line looks too good to be true, there's usually something that the book knows that you don't. That's why bookies drive BMWs. This is a prime time game in New Orleans.

    SD is over-rated. Their wins have come against low quality teams. The one time they played a top tier team they got absolutely destroyed.
     
  12. NickPapageorgio

    NickPapageorgio OG of the Sal Sagev Hotel

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2007
    Messages:
    2,508
    Location:
    Yuma, AZ
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    99
    Anyone can drive a BMW these days. (even Nick) Most lease, not own. I would say Maybach or Bentley is more appropriate for a successful Vegas Sportsbook operator.

    Nick:beer:
     
  13. mike_m235

    mike_m235 Tourist

    Joined:
    Aug 22, 2012
    Messages:
    2,421
    Location:
    Colorado Springs
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    12
    I was going to use Lexus, but I couldn't figure out what the plural was for lexus. Is it lexi?
     
  14. Steelers7

    Steelers7 Low-Roller

    Joined:
    Oct 27, 2010
    Messages:
    225
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    25
    0-4 with the 32nd ranked defense doesn't sound like a top tiered team! :thumbsup:
     
  15. Tuna

    Tuna High-Roller

    Joined:
    Dec 2, 2009
    Messages:
    912
    Location:
    Chicago
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    10

    Third, you're from Cali and obviously biased. There's no way you can look at the Chargers as a quality team.

    I got NO blowing SD out in this game. Book it.
     
  16. Hugh Jass

    Hugh Jass Tourist

    Joined:
    Jan 10, 2012
    Messages:
    24
    Location:
    Mendota Heights, MN
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    20
    Ok, first the disclaimers.

    Not a Norv Turner fan. Just one of many still trying to suck off the fumes of Jimmy Johnson's career (Yes, Chan Gailey, I'm talking about you.).

    Previous posters are correct that San Diego folded up against the only good team they've played. And I also agree that the line maker knows more than I do - if the line looks way off, it's far more likely that I've made the mistake.

    But, on this game, I think one fact overrides all others: the Saints' defense STINKS! It's tough to be giving points when your defense would have a tough time stopping Steven Hawking from gaining 100 yards.

    Not calling this a stone-cold, lead pipe, mortal lock - but I like San Diego plus the points.
     
  17. NickPapageorgio

    NickPapageorgio OG of the Sal Sagev Hotel

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2007
    Messages:
    2,508
    Location:
    Yuma, AZ
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    99
    Nick was right.... N'awlins still has it. Solid game, but I wouldn't have touched this one with a 10 foot pole. The Chargers are about as dependable as the Cowboys.....with that being said, they are still in this one, but they had their chances to close it out and blew it.

    Nick:beer:
     
  18. NickPapageorgio

    NickPapageorgio OG of the Sal Sagev Hotel

    Joined:
    Jul 11, 2007
    Messages:
    2,508
    Location:
    Yuma, AZ
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    99
    Luckily you didn't make it to Vegas. Drew Brees in the Superdome..... I would have a tough time betting against that, despite the moneyline. Who dat?

    Nick:beer:
     
  19. chitownjohn

    chitownjohn High-Roller

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2010
    Messages:
    659
    Location:
    Chicago
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    30
    Final NO 31 - SD 24. Nice call Mike.
     
  20. gusty5

    gusty5 Tourist

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2012
    Messages:
    10
    Trips to Las Vegas:
    2
    No locks in NFL especially this year.:poke:
     
Tags:
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.