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NFL survivor pool need a pick advice

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by mike mc, Oct 31, 2012.

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  1. mike mc

    mike mc High-Roller

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    I'm into week 9 only 15 people left, choices are
    San Diego +8 vs KC at home
    Det +3 at Jacksonville
    Chicago +3 At Tenn
    Denver +4 at Cinn

    just need a winner no spread involved to move on. , I want to go with the Chargers tommorow but they really look sucky lately :eek:
     
  2. rooster42000

    rooster42000 Goat of all Goats , My Hero

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    picks

    LIKE chiefs+broncos+lions+bears
     
  3. mike_m235

    mike_m235 Tourist

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    I wouldn't touch SD with a ten foot pole right now. Denver is due for a letdown.

    Chicago seems to be a pretty safe bet against a very bad Tenn. team
     
  4. Travel Fanatic

    Travel Fanatic The Arbiter of Taste Caviar Kid

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    Go with the Bears. They're on the road, but they are rested and a touchdown better than TN
     
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  5. IxAccDnf

    IxAccDnf VIP Whale

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    I would use SD in that spot.How many more opportunities will there be to use them in the future? At home against the Panthers?
     
  6. mike_m235

    mike_m235 Tourist

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    Well you could have used them last week against the Browns...of course you would have lost. I have a rule. Don't bet on teams that lose to the Browns.
     
  7. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    It is not an easy decision.

    San Diego +8 vs KC at home Chargers are awful. KC has talent and probalby sick of losing.
    Det +3 at Jacksonville Jacksonville stinks. This is the best bet.
    Chicago +3 At Tenn Bad teams at home tend to play well against good teams. Tenn. beat Pittsburgh at home earlier this year.
    Denver +4 at Cinn Denver might have a little letdown after last week's win against NO. Bad teams at home tend to play well against good teams. Good teams
    tend to overlook bad teams. I wouldn't play this.
     
  8. mike_m235

    mike_m235 Tourist

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    Cincy isn't as bad as people think, either.
     
  9. h_upmann

    h_upmann Low-Roller

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    JWBlue's analysis looks pretty sharp.
    It's tricky, but I'd probably go with the Lions too.
     
  10. mike_m235

    mike_m235 Tourist

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    Jacksonville just played GB tough. GB > Detroit. They're essentially the same team (can't run, suspect D), except GB has Rodgers.
     
  11. IxAccDnf

    IxAccDnf VIP Whale

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    In survivor pools I don't take road teams unless I have very few options left.
     
  12. h_upmann

    h_upmann Low-Roller

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    Chargers could easily romp tomorrow night, but most of us don't trust them.
    They do have the league's most dislikeable quarterback, though.
     
  13. IxAccDnf

    IxAccDnf VIP Whale

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    What NFL team can you trust?
    It's a survivor pool so at some time you have to pick a team that isn't one of the best.
     
  14. God's Bookie

    God's Bookie Newbie

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    Very true
     
  15. mike mc

    mike mc High-Roller

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    All very good points both pros, and cons now more confused than ever LOL :eek:

    Upon further review, I'm thinking the Det game could be a trap, being on the road with big division games upcoming in next 2 weeks,
    Denver is due for a fall and Cincy is not that bad IMO and could pull the upset, The Bears also in possible trap as well , I hate to go with the Chargers, since they looked so bad last few weeks and a division game to boot. But unfortunatly I think its my best bet. I know you should not think ahead but if I get by this one I got Det at home against Indy later in the month I could use, and as one poster mentioned " Who else can I use the Chargers againt in up coming weeks anyhow?
    Thats why they call it gambling :thumbsup: going with the Charger to-nite wish me luck :beer:
     
  16. mjames1229

    mjames1229 # of visits includes only trips w/ hotel stays

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    Chargers might win, but ug-ly.

    Ditto Bears. They might be too good to be in a trap, but they should be able to outlast Tennessee.

    I like Cincinnati and Jacksonville this week.
     
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  17. VegasLover8

    VegasLover8 High-Roller

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    I genearally try to stay away from divisional/rivalry games and home underdogs. With that said though, SD is probably the best choice of the games you listed. But I would also consider Detroit.

    I play in something similar. But you pick the loser and more importantly you can reuse a team. I have 2 entries left. I turned in 5. Out of nearly 700 entries, there are 33 left. Over 90% of the entries were lost in the 1st 3 weeks of the season. I will be going with Arizona and Buffalo this week.

    Good luck!
     
  18. Vegascash2

    Vegascash2 Tourist

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    Take SD tonight, when you win, you can enjoy Sunday watching games instead of worrying
     
  19. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    :beer: .......................
     
  20. mike mc

    mike mc High-Roller

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    Ok got through this one:poke::wink2: and you could not phrase is any better Vegascash !!!
     
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