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NFL 2015 Week 7

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by dutchvelvet, Oct 22, 2015.

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  1. dutchvelvet

    dutchvelvet VIP Whale

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    Games are about to begin, so I think I'll just start the discussion. Hope UK doesn't mind.

    Current Westgate Odds:

    Thursday:

    Seattle - 6.5 at San Fran. 42u-10.

    Sunday Noon:

    Buffalo -4 at Jacksonville. 41.5 u 10.
    Cleveland at St. Louis -6. 42u -10
    Pittsburgh at Kansas City OFF (saw an open listed of -3.5 Pitt).
    Houston at Miami -4 44.5u-10
    N.Y. Jets at New England -9 48u-10
    Minnesota -2.5 at Detroit 44.5u-10
    Atlanta -4.5 at Tennesee (MGM Odds). 47 u -10
    Tampa at Washington -3 -120. 42.5 u-10
    New Orleans at Indy -4.5. 52 u -10.

    Sunday Afternoon:

    Oakland at San Diego -4. 47 u -10
    Dallas at NY Giants -3.5 EV. 45 u -10

    Sunday Night:

    Philidelphia at Carolina -3 -115. 46.5 u -10

    Monday Night:

    Baltimore -9. 48 u -10.

    Discussion and comments here. My initial thoughts are the NO Indy Over, the Giants to cover, and the Panthers to cover.
     
  2. Roccoscollar

    Roccoscollar Low-Roller

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    With Seattle down this year doesn't SF +7 look good? I hate when lines look too good as that's when i feel it's a sucker bet. Thoughts?
     
  3. PayTriple

    PayTriple The Cucumber King

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    Jets +9 looks good. I think Pats win but 9 points is a lot and the Jets D should keep the game close.
    Also Pitt to beat KC.
     
    Last edited: Oct 22, 2015
  4. FXT

    FXT VIP Whale

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    Straight bets:

    Seattle Seahawks -6½ -110* vs San Francisco 49ers
    St. Louis Rams -6½ -102* vs Cleveland Browns
    Indianapolis Colts -4½ -110* vs New Orleans Saints
    San Diego Chargers -4 -110* vs Oakland Raiders
    Arizona Cardinals -9 +105* vs Baltimore Ravens

    Have a couple of teasers and parlays too but those aren't worth posting.

    Going bigger on the Seahawks wager because they simply have more to lose. Niners have failed to score more than 7 points in 3 of last 5 h2h matchups. Couple that with the fact that the coaching staff doesn't let Kap air the ball, Seattle secondary has owned Kap over the years, Niners lack a pass rush, Boldin has been shut down by Seattle and Hyde is playing injured with no depth at RB. This game should end up as a blowout imo. Even in the Seahawk losses, they have stayed competitive and lost a couple of very close games.
     
  5. UKFanatic

    UKFanatic The Arbiter of Taste Caviar Kid

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    Don't mind at all and appreciate the help keeping the NFL threads organized. Busy week for me ....
     
  6. Horatio Hufnagle

    Horatio Hufnagle Low-Roller

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    Initial leans Mia, Indy
     
  7. UKFanatic

    UKFanatic The Arbiter of Taste Caviar Kid

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    Made a few bets on Monday before I left vegas. So not thrilled about betting so early in the week, but hey, they were all small wagers and will give me some rooting action this weekend. Got Colts -4.5, Skins -3.5, Rams -4.5, Rams Under 42, and Ravens Over 48.5
     
  8. FXT

    FXT VIP Whale

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    Well the Niners game went exactly as I thought it would. Sucks being a Niner fan but atleast they're making me money.
     
  9. Imperial_Palace_King

    Imperial_Palace_King High-Roller

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    3 team parlay
    Jax ml
    Detroit ml
    SD

    I think philly beats Carolina this week. I see ATL covering.
     
  10. boofmichael

    boofmichael Low-Roller

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    There was a lot of chat on ESPN the other day about the travel differences between Buffalo and the Jags for the London game. Apparently Buffalo travelled out one week in advance whereas Jags will only arrive on Friday. Having just flown the 10 hours from UK to USA, I can testify that it will mess you up. Fancy Buffalo on that basis alone.
     
  11. Roccoscollar

    Roccoscollar Low-Roller

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    I'm so glad i didn't bet on the Niners game. I almost pulled the trigger but held off. Whew!
     
  12. NJS24

    NJS24 Low-Roller

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    *5 INDY -4 (3-0 ATS after a loss TY)
    *3 IND Under 52
    *3 BUF -4.5

    *5 OAK +4
    *1 TEN +4 (Fade the public)
     
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2015
  13. PayTriple

    PayTriple The Cucumber King

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    Took your advice and got a head start in a parlay, thanks!
     
  14. pd54

    pd54 Low-Roller

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    I think this depends on the individuals. I know teams have done it both ways and there's no evidence yet that either will lead to a win.
    Just remember the Jags have been doing this every year for a few years, so I would guess that their organisation is more used to the experience, so would learn from any mistakes made in the past.

    - - - Updated - - -

    Backed the Seahawks last night at -6.5 :)

    Not had a look at the weekend games yet.
     
  15. FXT

    FXT VIP Whale

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    I wouldn't bet the Niners against any team that has a negative dvoa and offensive ranking in the top 15. We straight up suck this year and Kaps regressing.

    awesome, glad to be of help!
     
  16. dutchvelvet

    dutchvelvet VIP Whale

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    Two bets so far. Bills -3 and Panthers -3. Hoping on Buffalo defense to finally show up. Panthers have played very well, and I think they will keep it up another week
     
  17. undathesea

    undathesea Grandissimo

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    Just decided to start streaming it. YIKES!

    I guess going out there early didn't make that much of a difference.
     
  18. dutchvelvet

    dutchvelvet VIP Whale

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    Yeah, Bills are better team but EJ Manuel giving game away.
     
  19. undathesea

    undathesea Grandissimo

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    I thought Taylor was supposed to start? WTF? Manuel blows harder than a French whore on payday.
     
  20. undathesea

    undathesea Grandissimo

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    Just put in my teaser for today. I probably would have put Buffalo in it had I done when I got up... which still would have won, but would have given me a heart attack watching it.

    For some reason I like Tennessee to cover today... but I stayed away from it. That's just another one of those games where it seems too easy and Atlanta's pass defense is so bad you just can't trust them.

    Good luck today!
     
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