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NFL > 10.31.13 : Cincinnati -3

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by JWBlue, Oct 31, 2013.

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  1. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    Love this play.

    Miami has a lot of issues right now. I am surprised this line has not moved. Cincinnati is playing like Super Bowl contenders.

    Cincinnati -3 (+100) William Hill
     
  2. smartone

    smartone VIP Whale

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    I like the play... one of the stranger stories in the NFL is going on in Miami this week involving a second-year starting O-Lineman... another teammate "pranked" him in the cafeteria a couple days ago and he got pissed, slammed the cafeteria tray down and left... hasn't been heard from since?
     
  3. RWDPeanut

    RWDPeanut Low-Roller

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    It looks like the line opened at -1, and it is a road game (See STL/Seattle Monday night).

    Having said that, my money is on Cincy! :beer:
     
  4. Squib

    Squib Tourist

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    Cincy is in a bad spot tonight. I'm on the other side but good luck anyway.
     
  5. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    I am not sure what I was looking at.

    There has been line movement. It moved from 2.5 to 3 yesterday.

    Still like the play.
     
  6. RWDPeanut

    RWDPeanut Low-Roller

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    What does that mean?
     
  7. Squib

    Squib Tourist

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    It means CIN won't cover according to my handicapping.

    Mia may even win this SU.

    Also Mia suffers a crushing defeat last week vs Pats while CIN crushes the NYJ. I believe the bengals have won 4 or 5 in row and perception is these teams are heading in different directions.

    CIN opens as -1 fav and gets beat up to -3 meaning the bengals are getting pounded. This line makes no sense as it should have opened at 3 and beat up to 3.5-4. Many books have taxed MIA +3 -115 or more. Inviting CIN money IMO.

    I'm swimming with dolphins tonight!
     
  8. Tahoejoe2

    Tahoejoe2 High-Roller

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    Squib
    I have a different view. Cinn money was pounded early because people knew line would move to 3. 3 is a magical number in football. Now that it is at 3 the books know the Miami money will be coming in and they want to grab the extra -115. Why would you invite Cinn money at -3??? and not -2.5
    I'm not a pro. Just my thoughts.
     
    Superbowl Baby
  9. Squib

    Squib Tourist

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    They were inviting CIN at -2.5. Books know which way the game will be bet according to the line put out. Opened a -1 to invite CIN money while the trend continues as its bet to -2,-2.5 and -3 at plus money. CIN crushes the jets last week now you look at the low line and figure easy money for the bengals.

    We're also due for a SU dog win on Thursday night.
     
  10. Squib

    Squib Tourist

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    Update

    Everywhere I look the books are needing MIA big time.

    Reinforces my bet after the public smashing they took last week
     
  11. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    The sportsbooks are in a bad spot.

    Only under extreme circumstances will they move off 3. Essentially they are stuck at -3.

    Otherwise, this line probably would have moved a couple more points.
     
  12. Squib

    Squib Tourist

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    Sorry to highjack your thread.

    I see what you are saying as there are so many ways to look at line movements etc. One of us will be a winner.

    Good luck!
     
  13. TIMSPEED

    TIMSPEED !địt mẹ!

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    SAFETY!!!!
    Weirdest ending I've seen in a while...
     
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  14. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    The Bungles.
     
  15. Squib

    Squib Tourist

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    It wasn't pretty but the bengals didn't deserve that win. Sloppy play throughout the game for both teams but the Miami defence was the deciding factor.
     
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