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MLB wagering : San Francisco to win the World Series +150 vs. Detroit

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by JWBlue, Oct 23, 2012.

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  1. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    Here are the pitching matchups for the World Series.

    Game #1, #5 : Verlander vs. Zito
    Game #2, #6 : Fister vs. Vogelsong
    Game #3, #7 : Cain vs. Sanchez
    Game #4 : Bumgarner vs. Scherzer


    So let me get this straight. San Francisco bettors will have the starting pitching advantage in 5 of 7 games and in the other two will pitch a left handed pitcher which Detroit is average against and be given odds of +150? Not to mention home field advantage, a better bullpen, and playing a team that might be rusty.

    San Francisco to win the World Series +150 (The Westin/William Hill)
     
  2. bubbamsu

    bubbamsu Low-Roller

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    There is no way SF has the pitching edge in 5/7 games. I'll assume that Verlander is the 2 game advantage you are talking about.

    Preface: I am a Tigers fan, but not a homer!!! I am a sports junkie.

    Verlander wins the pitching advantage against every pitcher in the game today. He has a 2.64 ERA 239 SO. He is probably will win another CY Young this year

    Scherzer/Vogelsong have comparable ERAs, but Scherzer almost doubled his SOs.

    Fister vs. Cain is the key for SF. Cain has the advantage, but the Tigers will probably be favored in Comerica.

    Sanchez was pitching well for the Marlins prior to switching leagues and has a season ERA close to Bumgarner's. Even though Leyland said Annibal will pitch, it would not surprise me to see Verlander in games 1,4,7.

    I am not going to start a AL vs. NL debate, but it is easier to put up better pitching stats in NL with the pitchers hitting.

    Post season team pitching stats:

    #1 Tigers 1.74 ERA, opposing BA .176
    #8 SF 3.36, opposing BA .237

    For the regular season both teams were almost identical.

    Hitting for the regular season was almost identical as well, but the Tigers hit 60 more homers.

    I don't believe the "RUSTY" team vs. the momentum team. Either side can be argued either way, but that is for the bar, not the casino.

    I think this is going to be very good series, but the Tigers should prevail, BECAUSE of the pitching edge.
     
  3. shifter

    shifter Degenerate Gambler

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    dude, not to be mean, but have you won an MLB bet yet? i would stop betting if i were you. :)
     
  4. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    Not this season.

    In past years, I would make a trip to Las Vegas just to wager on the MLB playoffs and would clean up.
     
  5. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    Updated pitching matchups:

    Game #1, #5 : Verlander vs. Zito
    Game #2, #6 : Fister vs. Bumgarner
    Game #3, #7 : Vogelsong vs. Sanchez
    Game #4 : Cain vs. Scherzer

    I am not sure why Cain is not starting Game #3 on Saturday. It would be on regular 4 days rest. It would allow him
    to come back on Thursday for Game #7 on regular rest. He might be fagged (from Websters dictionary >
    fagged: exhausted: drained of energy or effectiveness; extremely tired; completely exhausted ;) )

    I did not expect Bumgarner to pitch two games. Detroit is not nearly as good against left handed pitchers.
    That makes up for not having Cain a second game. Vogelsong has been much more effective anyway in
    the postseason.

    Bottom line is that I still like the wager.
     
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2012
  6. DonD

    DonD Super Moderator

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    I got 160 for 100. It's the only way I'm interested in watching. Go Giants!
     
  7. Chuckberry1

    Chuckberry1 Tourist

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    I only got in at +150. But it's looking like a good bet. Thanks JWBlue.
     
    Last edited: Oct 27, 2012
  8. loonytoony

    loonytoony VIP Whale

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    What an offensive showcase by the Tigers!!!! Wonder if the fix is in
     
  9. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    A disappointing postseason for me.

    2012 MLB Postseason record 1-3-3 (-1.90 units)
     
  10. saintpauljeff

    saintpauljeff VIP Whale

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    yes nice job (and betting logic) Blue :thumbsup:
     
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