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MLB season win totals are out

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by IxAccDnf, Feb 13, 2014.

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  1. IxAccDnf

    IxAccDnf VIP Whale

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    from Reno

    Arizona Diamondbacks - 81
    Atlanta Braves - 86.5
    Baltimore Orioles - 80.5
    Boston Red Sox - 87.5
    Chicago Cubs - 65.5
    Chicago White Sox - 76.5
    Cincinnati Reds - 87.5
    Cleveland Indians - 82.5
    Colorado Rockies - 76.5
    Detroit Tigers - 91.5
    Houston Astros - 57.5
    Kansas City Royals - 85.5
    Los Angeles Angels - 84.5
    Los Angeles Dodgers - 92.5
    Miami Marlins - 66.5
    Milwaukee Brewers - 78.5
    Minnesota Twins - 65.5
    New York Mets - 71.5
    New York Yankees - 83.5
    Oakland Athletics - 86.5
    Philadelphia Phillies - 78
    Pittsburgh Pirates - 86.5
    San Diego Padres - 76.5
    San Francisco Giants - 86.5
    Seattle Mariners - 80
    St. Louis Cardinals - 90.5
    Tampa Bay Rays - 88.5
    Texas Rangers - 86.5
    Toronto Blue Jays - 77.5
    Washington Nationals - 90.5
     
  2. Piston12

    Piston12 Tourist

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    Interesting...what plays do you like? I'll be in Vegas in about 2 weeks and plan on playing a few of these.

    I like the under on the Reds, Cubs, Royals, and Dodgers.

    I like the over on the Diamondbacks, Astros (a reach, I know), and Braves.
     
  3. ardee

    ardee VIP Whale

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    I'd definitely take the Over on the Dodgers and the Padres.
     
  4. UKFanatic

    UKFanatic The Arbiter of Taste Caviar Kid

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    First reaction, I like the under on the Nats
     
  5. IxAccDnf

    IxAccDnf VIP Whale

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    ChiSox under and the Brewers under
     
  6. Viva Las Vegas

    Viva Las Vegas Ramblin' Gamblin' Man

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    You get a lot of value with the following selections:

    Over
    Chicago Cubs - 65.5
    Houston Astros - 57.5
    Los Angeles Angels - 84.5

    Under
    Baltimore Orioles - 80.5
    Kansas City Royals - 85.5
    Pittsburgh Pirates - 86.5
     
  7. smartone

    smartone VIP Whale

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    Go Tigers!!!
     
  8. HeaterSeeker

    HeaterSeeker Tourist

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    I like your under picks! Go Dodgers! :peace:
     
  9. Guardian

    Guardian Low-Roller

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    I'm with you smartone!
     
  10. kps

    kps High-Roller

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    Tampa, Atlanta, Mets to bet the over

    Seattle and Nats to bet the under
     
  11. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    St. Louis OVER

    I love a team that does not rely on pitching to win games. At the same time, they have a lot of pitching.
     
  12. chitownjohn

    chitownjohn High-Roller

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    Thanks for the insight Tim McCarver. :poke:
     
  13. craiger122003

    craiger122003 Low-Roller

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    I agree STL over but to tie my money up for 8 months? No thanks
     
  14. JWBlue

    JWBlue VIP Whale

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    Interest rates are at an all time low. Putting money in a bank for eight months gives about .6%.

    Assuming someone is a good handicapper and would win @ a 55% win rate, I don't think it is a bad wager.

    Winner!
     
  15. hornhiyo

    hornhiyo Low-Roller

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    Painful to admit, but big Astros fan. 57.5 is really low. New owner has been banking his money over the last couple of years. He's predicting a .500 season, which won't happen, but I really believe they'll do whatever it takes to avoid losing 100 games again.

    The stigma of a great organization losing over 100 three years in-a-row has been painful to endure. The ownership won't let it happen again.

    I'd take anything over 62 wins for the 'Stros and if I could get odds on over 65, i'd take it.
     
  16. wpete

    wpete High-Roller

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    Odd. The other day I read that the Yankees were 5/1 to win the AL and the Red Sox were 6/1. Yet this is showing that the over/under has the Sox beating the Yankees by 4 games.
     
  17. CFioren317

    CFioren317 Low-Roller

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    Yankees seem very short to me...84-78 is easily attainable for them. They were pretty awful and killed with injuries and they won 85 last year. I hate the Yankers but they always find a way to hang in there. Even without Rivera and Cano I think they will win 84 no problem.
     
  18. z4rich

    z4rich Tourist

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    I have a strategy that worked well last year and will be following again this year.

    I compare the numbers of the Atlantis Casino in Reno with the win totals available here in Vegas (LVH, CG Technology (formally Cantor Gaming), Stations, MGM, Caesar's, etc). I look for 2 game or more differentials (either over or under). I bet the best number I can find on the side of the Atlantis number. The guy who sets the numbers at Atlantis seems to be on the right side.

    Here are this years plays with the best differential (be sure the check the actual numbers before betting as they will change):

    Houston Astros
    Atlantis: 57.5 LVH: 63.5 CG: 62.0
    Bet: UNDER 63.5 at LVH

    Kansas City Royals:
    Atlantis: 85.5 LVH: 79.5 CG: 81
    Bet: OVER 79.5 at LVH

    Minnesota Twins:
    Atlantis: 65.5 LVH: 71.5 CG: 69.5
    Bet: UNDER 71.5 at LVH


    If you would like the complete list of teams and totals from Atlantis, LVH and CG let me know. I have them on a spreadsheet.

    Cheers :beer:
     
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