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College Football 2016

Discussion in 'The Sports Book' started by InDaGreen, Jul 11, 2016.

  1. InDaGreen

    InDaGreen Tourist

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    South Point, Golden Nugget and now the SuperBook have released their Game of the Year spreads. Team win totals are out there too.

    Seems like bettors are not fond of Oregon. Game at Nebraska opened as a pick at the Nugget; Huskers a 1.5-point favorite per the SuperBook. Nugget opened the Ducks' game at USC on Friday with the Trojans as a 1.5-point favorite; SuperBook opened it at USC -7.5 on Sunday afternoon.

    Who do you like? Who are you fading?

    CFP winner, Heisman, spreads - discuss it all here.
     
    Last edited: Jul 11, 2016
  2. OhioStateAlum

    OhioStateAlum Low-Roller

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    Can't wait!

    These predictions are sure to be wayyyy wrong.

    The Pac 12 Gets Left Out Again
    For a second straight year I think the Pac 12, while good depth-wise, will be left out of the playoff.

    Alabama Makes It 3/3
    The Tide have been in each of the first two CFPs, and they'll return again this year.

    Florida State, Ohio State get back to CFP
    FSU and OSU were in the inaugural CFP and they'll both return this year. Ohio State will have a huge task ahead ahead of them in Week 3 at Oklahoma, but a loss isn't all that crippling for either team. Both the Noles and Buckeyes are the most talented teams in their respective conference and will be rolling by the time the calendar flips to November.

    I think the Heisman race will be really interesting as a bulk of the top ten teams all have at least one established player that should be on everyone's radar. Deshaun Watson, Baker Mayfield, Christian McCaffrey, and JT Barrett have all finished in the top 5 previously Leonard Fournette and Dalvin Cook should turn in special years. It's tough for guys that are strictly receivers or defensive players to make a ton of noise Heisman-wise, but I think Calvin Ridley and Jabrill Peppers (I just puked) will be as good as anyone in the country at their position.

    I don't *bet* a ton of $$$ on CFB but I do weekly contests with some buddies- we pick winners of the Top 25 games vs the number and he who gets the most correct takes that week's pot. Keeps some interest in games I wouldn't otherwise give a shit about. I typically lean about 60% towards dogs over the course of a season. I never pick OSU not to cover the spread and I never pick Michigan to cover. No conflicts between my heart and my picks that way.

    Only about 8 weeks until kickoff!
     
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  3. InDaGreen

    InDaGreen Tourist

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    Totally agree about the Pac-12 not making the playoff. Given the 9-game conference schedule and difficult non-conference games against the likes of Alabama and Notre Dame, I expect the champ to be 11-2 at best but more likely 10-3/9-4.

    The question becomes will the conference champs from the SEC, ACC, Big 10 and Big 12 make the CFP or can the SEC or ACC (Clemson/Florida State) sneak two teams into the field?
     
  4. shokhead

    shokhead I'm no big spender!

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    First game for USC, Tide.
     
    Here we go again!
  5. Dr Nostron

    Dr Nostron Low-Roller

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    FSU is unsettled at QB situation - they will either start an upperclassman who isn't very talented - or a talented QB with no experience.

    Something to keep in mind during early season games with Ole Miss and Clemson
     
  6. bdautch

    bdautch High-Roller

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    I'm thinking of taking Central Florida under zero wins.
     
  7. OhioStateAlum

    OhioStateAlum Low-Roller

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    Took a glance at some of the conference futures. Ones that looked like they might be a worth a stab in the dark were Nebraska (+900), Wisconsin (+1400), and Florida (+1800). Of those, Florida would probably be my favorite play as the SEC East isn't exactly murderers row.


    Two from the same conference will happen someday, but I think it'll be awhile. Barring something absolutely crazy, I think the SEC and Big Ten are locks to have a playoff rep, whoever that may be.
     
  8. 7out

    7out Tourist

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    Are the total wins for college at all the sportsbooks at this point? Heading to town this weekend and hoping to place some money at Caesars and was hoping they would be available.
     
  9. Golfer

    Golfer Tourist

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    William Hill books had them this last weekend. can't speak to the rest.
     
  10. Bamalewie

    Bamalewie Tourist

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    take USC and the points, bama won't cover, hell we might lose
     
  11. Dr Nostron

    Dr Nostron Low-Roller

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    Am not buying that sand bagging nonsense for one minute
     
  12. Ray

    Ray Tourist

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    Houston strait up winner vs. OKLAHOMA. This from a die hard Sooner fan....
     
  13. Camp Rusty

    Camp Rusty Low-Roller

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    The game in Australia is a weird travel game for Cal. I might take Hawaii and the points just to start off the year, they'll be closer to knowing what day it actually is by a few hours :yawn:

    I think I would take Rutgers away at Washington and the points, I am sure the Huskies will win, just not seeing three touchdowns.

    Those are the only ones I saw, I am primarily a Pac12 guy so unless it's one of my couple other national favorites I don't really know enough to bet.
     
  14. InDaGreen

    InDaGreen Tourist

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    Actually the Hawaii game I'm looking at is at Arizona on Sept. 17. The Rainbow Warriors go to Australia and Michigan, have a home game, and then go back on the road where it's going to be blisteringly how? That has whipping written all over it.
     
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  15. InDaGreen

    InDaGreen Tourist

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    Clemson-Florida State is the last Saturday in October. The Tigers D and Noles QB situations should both be long settled by then. Might be a bigger and better game than Alabama-LSU.
     
  16. BackInVegas

    BackInVegas VIP Whale

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    The only way to bet the Oregon Nebraska game is take the OVER, up to 80 points. Maybe more, if the first two games show me that both defense are as bad as last year.

    Both defenses were BAD last year. The Nebraska offense will score on the Oregon defense. Nebraska lost the entire defensive line, and Oregon will be able to run on the new, inexperienced D line. I watched the Oregon bowl game, I don't think Nebraska has the ability to keep up with the Oregon speed. If Nebraska still had the Maliek Collins NFL Draft and Vince Valentine NFL Draft, then it would be easy, Nebraska wins. I expect Royce Freeman to have a big game, 200+. Nebraska should throw for over 300+ on Oregon's pass defense.

    Mike Riley(ex Oregon State) is the Nebraska coach, and he has lost the last seven games to Oregon. So far, his coaching decisions at Nebraska have been mostly questionable. Taking a team that had won 9 games the last 7 years and going 5-7, means something was wrong.

    At this time, I plan on betting the over. Of course, that is the third game, and if my bets I already made are not panning out, I just might shut down my wagering. Sometimes, real life takes a priority. I also realize that some years, my betting decisions were completely wrong and no point in throwing good money after bad.
     
  17. InDaGreen

    InDaGreen Tourist

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    Reports out of Louisville training camp indicate that QB Lamar Jackson has really impressed as a passer. Add that to the dangerous skills as a runner he displayed as a freshman, Jackson might be worth a long-shot Heisman bet at 25/1 or longer. Also worth considering in the larger context of various Louisville, Clemson and Florida State futures bets, especially 'Noles' over/under with dangerous Week 3 game at the Cardinals.

    Redshirt junior Max Browne looks to be the favorite to formally win the USC QB job on Saturday. Had strong outing in final scrimmage and good reputation as a recruit, but probably won't change the way anyone feels about the Trojans this season, good or bad.
     
  18. dmr

    dmr Registered Abuser

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    Nebraska is "My Team" and I live about 35 miles out of Lincoln in the Omaha direction.

    I'm not an expert in coaching college ball by any means, but it seems like the Powers That Be are very quick to fire coaches who show promise for questionable reasons. Frank Solich, the last of the "Dynasty", was canned mainly due to (rumors of) extracurricular dalliances and such and replaced with a guy who was over his head, stirred the pot, but did not win that many games. They finally canned him for good cause and Bo Pellini was brought back in and things turned around very quickly. He did win games and was popular with the players but he was a major hothead, cursing out players when appropriate, referees, and administration at times. His language (LOL, can you read lips?) :) could make a sailor blush! (It could make General Patton blush!) He finally mouthed off to the wrong person and was out. He had a particular challenge, that being a new league and more higher-powered teams. Then in came Riley and unfortunately last year was nothing to cheer about. :( We did, however, win our bowl game over UCLA in the Hostess Cupcake Bowl, or whatever they're calling it this year. :)

    Things do not look that great this year. We lost our starting kicker in a very unfortunate auto accident. :( Lately the local sports news has been dominated by an assistant coach who got in a wreck and rang the bell on the breathalyzer.

    Oh well, we shall see ...
     
  19. Roccoscollar

    Roccoscollar Low-Roller

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    I liked Hawaii when it was +22. It's now at +20 and i think i'll just stay on the sidelines for now. Cal team is depleted and have new OC but then again Hawaii isn't that good. Hawaii does have new HC and get a lot of injured players back so they could keep it within 3 TDs.

    A few others I'm close to pulling the trigger on. Will let you know what i do so you can laugh at me when they all lose! :)
     
  20. POPO2012

    POPO2012 Low-Roller

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    I've already jumped on this game offshore but I took Houston plus 10 after missing 10.5 and it dropping to 9.5 briefly. Best week #1 game I'd seen so far. :beer: